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Melkonyan G.M. The impact of political institutions on fertility and armenia’s demographic strategy. Journal of Social Policy, Population Preservation and Reproductivity. 2026; 5(1). Available at: https://spnjournal.ru/PDF/02SPN126.pdf (in Russian).

The impact of political institutions on fertility and armenia’s demographic strategy

Melkonyan Gevorg Mkhitarovich
State University of Education, Moscow, Russia
E-mail: melkonyan-gevorg.2000@mail.ru

Abstract. The article examines the influence of political institutions on fertility and the demographic strategy of the Republic of Armenia in the context of post-Soviet transformation, migration mobility, and regional instability. The relevance of the study stems from the fact that demographic policy in contemporary states functions not only as an instrument of social support but also as an important component of strategic governance connected with national resilience, security, and the preservation of human capital. The purpose of the article is to identify how the political regime, the structure of public authority, and the quality of institutional coordination affect the formation of demographic policy, the content of family support measures, and their practical effectiveness. The methodological framework combines institutional, comparative-political, and demographic approaches. The article demonstrates that Armenia’s demographic dynamics are determined not only by the level of material support for families, but also by the scale of emigration, the degree of public trust in the state, political predictability, the quality of administrative governance, and the broader foreign policy environment. It is concluded that the impact of political institutions on fertility is indirect yet systemic and is manifested through budgetary-legal, administrative, and political-psychological mechanisms. The study substantiates the need to move from narrow pronatalism toward a model of comprehensive demographic sustainability.

Keywords: demographic policy; fertility; political institutions; Armenia; demographic strategy; migration; family policy; South Caucasus; political stability; social policy

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